How inflation affect the stock market movements?
Ice
3 when 23, I view: on the issue in this article come from now, this time in the past 50 days,UGG boots, the stock market volatility has been in the range. The most pessimistic scenario with the most optimistic scenario, extension of the upper and lower up to 500 points.
present,UGG bailey button, inflation pressure is still very large.
5 9,Bailey UGG boots, National Bureau of Statistics data show that in April PPI (PPI) rose 8.1%, consecutive 3 years 4 months to a new record high, after 1,2, March PPI rose by 6.1%, 6.6%, 8.0%. because the state oil and electricity price controlled, locked the two large tigers, if the oil prices, electricity prices, CPI will soon be more than 10% because oil prices and electricity prices among the many industry sources. It is anticipated that reduced inflationary pressures, the Government may continue to hold these two Bu Songshou dead.
government concerns about inflation, you can use ; to represent. In fact, China has already entered the stage of serious inflation. Now, many people still emphasize that food prices led to inflation and stop the rapid rise in food prices as long as inflationary pressures will ease, but it is not. Excluding food prices, core CPI growth factors has grown from 1.6% in January of this year widened to 2.2% in March, which is not enough to explain the problem? one-sided emphasis on the dominant food and ignore other factors that may go astray.
Inflation will bring the weight of the stock market.
First, PPI will gradually increase power transmission to the CPI, but this transfer process is often hampered by many factors and can not be completely passed over. In other words, will be eating away the profits of some listed companies, affecting their performance growth of the lower valuation.
Second, the government may continue to implement more stringent tightening up the stock market the funds needed impetus weakened.
Third, the Government on the stock market rising monetary phenomenon caused by the endogenous role in promoting on prices would be more worried about the stock market directly out of the shock do not want to range into the higher orbit, or even tend to be down a little this and bring the Olympic Games mm the stability of the effect of potential conflict. that is, before one of the reasons, ZF want to lock the stock market funds, not to the field of commodities flow. then one of the reasons, ZF does not want the stock market fell too deep and affect social stability.
Therefore, from the behavior perspective, the government is in deep contradiction: on one side to rescue the market, while accelerating the pace of new issues; side of the extruded foam, while creating a new bubble (such as the high price-earnings ratio of new shares of Zijin Mining issue, but with a nominal value of 0.1 to cover up a bit ); side of the number of new funds, while preparing to push the GEM hh
fact, ZF treat some of the stock market can be more detached. The stock market is the stock market, it should not host such a feature, such as inflation, this is not the stock market should have a function. To curb inflation, the key is to reduce government revenue and expenditure, the huge government-led investment and low efficiency of the various wasted expenditure, is the main factor causing inflation. In addition, to solve the liquidity problem, the Government should increase social security, and can absorb part of the liquidity can also ease the pressure of life of ordinary people, can be described as dual. At the same time, it should be out of the fetters of vested interest groups, depressed prices, cut off the major force behind inflation.
other should also be concerned about the subprime mortgage crisis to. U.S. subprime crisis, after a brief stabilization, the next will not deteriorate further, is noteworthy. I personally believe that subprime crisis may continue to deteriorate in the future to terminate U.S. stocks rebound Thus, the impact on the surrounding market.
if you put aside the strength of ZF, one for the stock market itself, under the pressure of inflation, it has continued the downward momentum. The reason is simple, in the case of a series of favorable policies introduced Next,UGG boots cheap, even four thousand points are inaccessible, has shown a heavy sense of its own stock market. If the government can not continue to provide new favorable policies, the stock market may be down to the release of kinetic energy, re-dip. but will continue to range shock pattern.
the April CPI data is difficult to feel optimistic, so, last week, funds and other institutions began to banking stocks and real estate holdings of shares, as led by the main force. and successful hunters of the QFII funds, also last week some have to lighten up.
for the government, the stock market between 3000 to 4000 shock, that it is most like, it needs the time for space, but the policy intention and the energy market itself after the game direction is the direction of the stock market really want to walk. this is made clear, the general trend of the stock market becomes more clearly a number.
now need to increase the risk prevention.
Note: In addition, the recent Beijing commercial research institutions have a good friend asked me to come to me and asked me to do a stakeholder analysis of house prices, stock market of the keynote speech (about two hours), has shirk a few times recently if it can not afford to shirk may go to Beijing again. I like the clean, not to participate in such activities. the last chopper brother organized a stock market of the lecture, he is really doing things resolutely and directly to my keynote newspaper ads, but also with the my photo, time to inform me, depriving me a little room did not, rush to go from Pudong Puxi fire. Fortunately, it was pouring rain, only a dozen people came, I said no speech, and everyone would chat it, one by one to answer my question, operator solutions to help a brother chopper around. afraid of these friends.
on May 12, 2008 am
Date: re-financing to be set regulations, not only by peace, from good
link: crazy stamp: China's stock market the source of chaos
link: to suppress the stock market to refinance, do another coincidence?
link: On an overall decline in house prices is a foregone conclusion < br> Links: Ping does not report why the refinancing program
links: Medina Soul
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